MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
02632nam a2200253 a 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER |
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| control field |
17588 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
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| control field |
20220701010810.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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| fixed length control field |
160508r20102007nyua b 001 0 eng |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| ISBN |
9780141034591 |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| ISBN |
9780812973815 (pbk.) |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
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| Original cataloging agency |
BD-DhIUB |
| Transcribing agency |
BD-DhIUB |
| 082 00 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
003.54 |
| Edition number |
22 |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, |
| Dates associated with a name |
1960- |
| 245 14 - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
The black swan : |
| Remainder of title |
the impact of the highly improbable / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc |
Nassim Nicholas Taleb. |
| 250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT |
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| Edition statement |
2nd ed., Random trade pbk. ed. |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
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| Place of publication, distribution, etc |
New York : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc |
Random House Trade Paperbacks, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc |
c2010. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
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| Extent |
xxxiii, 444 p. : |
| Other physical details |
ill. ; |
| Dimensions |
21 cm. |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
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| General note |
"Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007."-T.p. verso. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
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| Bibliography, etc |
Includes bibliographical references (p. [400]-429) and index. |
| 505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE |
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| Formatted contents note |
Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc |
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Uncertainty (Information theory) |
| General subdivision |
Social aspects. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Forecasting. |